Cr*p weather

I’d just like to let you know that the weather here has been pretty rubbishy for what seems like ages. Down here we’re not getting the floods they have oop north, just lots of rain, and indeed yesterday some hail too.

This has a vaguely serious side. Clearly, one summer (or lack thereof) doesn’t make for a trend; but its one answer to those who say “global warming; oh good Blackpool will be like the french riviera”. It might just get warmer; but more likely weather patterns will shift; and who knows it could shift to excess summer rain.

Holy Science Museums, Rapman!

It seems that Chris Rapley is moving on from Director of BAS to be director of the Science Museum. He said…

I am thrilled at the prospect of taking on the leadership of such a cherished national institution, especially as the task I have been set is to make it the most admired museum of its type in the world.

This will include building the museum’s international profile and reputation, strengthening its national position and being the benchmark for best practice.

Well, good luck to him. Bring on Nick Owens.

[Update: maybe he can get rid of the stupid Giant Ring, or maybe kick out the moneychangers (aka the bookshop) -W]

Heat or Temperature?

Another interesting entry on the often-provoking RP Sr site. This time a guest post by McNider, who I don’t know. He indulges in some giveaway ranting: Climate change alarmists have used the global surface temperature record as evidence of man’s impact on climate being “real” yet, as discussed below, most of the warming in this record is at night and probably has little to do with the accumulation of heat in the atmosphere which is foolish, unless you want to dismiss the IPCC as alarmists, which leaves you amongst the wild-eyed Lubos fringe. And requires you to believe some strange things about the SST record.
Continue reading “Heat or Temperature?”

Alarmist global warming claims melt under scientific scrutiny?

So says the Chicago Sun-Times. Oh dear. But what are these claims? For example, Gore claims that Himalayan glaciers are shrinking and global warming is to blame. Does he? I suppose he might, though I don’t remember it myself. Whats the rebuttal? Yet the September 2006 issue of the American Meteorological Society’s Journal of Climate reported, “Glaciers are growing in the Himalayan Mountains, confounding global warming alarmists who recently claimed the glaciers were shrinking and that global warming was to blame.” Curious language for J Climate, no? Makes one suspicious. No ref, of course. But what about Himalayan Glaciers Are Growing … and Confounding Global Warming Alarmists by the Heartland institute? That seems to be the source. And says: Glaciers are growing in the Himalayan Mountains, confounding global warming alarmists who have recently claimed the glaciers were shrinking and that global warming was to blame. A new study of the Karakoram, Hindu Kush, and Western Himalaya mountain ranges by researchers at England’s Newcastle University shows consistent recent growth among the region’s glaciers. Researchers found cooler summers are failing to melt winter snows, which are themselves becoming more frequent, resulting in advancing ice sheets.

Which is then enough to turn up Conflicting Signals of Climatic Change in the Upper Indus Basin by Fowler and Archer DOI: 10.1175/JCLI3860.1. Whose abstract concludes:

The impact of observed seasonal temperature trend on runoff is explored using derived regression relationships. Decreases of ∼20% in summer runoff in the rivers Hunza and Shyok are estimated to have resulted from the observed 1°C fall in mean summer temperature since 1961, with even greater reductions in spring months. The observed downward trend in summer temperature and runoff is consistent with the observed thickening and expansion of Karakoram glaciers, in contrast to widespread decay and retreat in the eastern Himalayas. This suggests that the western Himalayas are showing a different response to global warming than other parts of the globe.

So, that morhped from obs thickening in some and widespread decay elsewhere in the paper into the accurate but misleading list of areas of growth into the assertion of growth only in the Chicago Sun-Times.

Motto: as ever: don’t trust the papers to get science right.

[Update: Deltoid had this first -W]