Ruderhofspitze: fail

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Another in the line of mountain climbing posts; I need to get them all out before next year. This one contains few decent photos because I failed due at least in part due to cloud; but its still quite instructive I think. Here’s a portion of the GPS trace for orientation:

ruder-fail

The green dot on the left is the summit, 3474 m. We’ll be going back there in a future post. My high point this day was 3230 ish, say 250 m short, but more than just distance I had very little clue where to go. The green dot on the right is the col, with the Neue Regensburger hut much further right. I got up, pre-packed, for breakfast at 6:30; and gave myself 7 hours, because we wanted to go off to the Franz Senn in the afternoon. That’s a bit tight, but not much, as the most likely fail was what happened, viz, not being able to find the route.

Summitpost waxes quite lyrical about the Ruderhofspitze: Of the 7 summits of the Stubai range over 3400m, Ruderhofspitze is the most central, the 3rd highest, and probably the most remote. This combined makes it a really great mountain and a noble aim. Which is quite Germanic, but also true.

The day started well, with a beautiful cloud sea below the hut:

DSC_4650

However, the clouds somewhat unsportingly chased me up the valley. By the time I’d got to the col (see end of prev for views up to the col) and looked up, I saw this:

DSC_4663

The central spire is the beginning of the Grawawand, clear enough as the long spine just north of my route. At that point – though I didn’t really notice it at the time, and have only just realised it – the cloud is thin enough that the snow couloir leading up into the ?first? snow bowl is visible in the distance. Its more clearly visible in this Summitpost pic and looks somewhat intimidating in that picture. Quite what I’d have done if I’d managed to get that far in decent viz I don’t know.

However, the cloud got worse. Here’s me, a bit further up, sitting on the rocks for 15 mins or so thinking “I wonder if there’ll be a big enough tear in the cloud to give me some hint of where to go”:

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And here, roughly, is my high point, with me thinking: I really don’t know where I am:

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But judging from the GPS trace, I needed to be off left beyond the rockfall, probably going up the only-vaguely-visible snowpath leading upwards. Or maybe even further left, out of the pic. I’m really not sure. Anyway, at the point the weather clearly wasn’t going to improve, my time was starting to run out, my appetite for wandering around unknown terrain on a day when it was pretty certain no-one would be around to hear my screams had declined, so I turned around and went back.

And, here’s the hut:

DSC_4694

Where are they now?

I wander thro’ each charter’d street,
Near where the charter’d Thames does flow.
And mark in every face I meet
Marks of weakness, marks of woe.

In every cry of every Man,
In every Infants cry of fear,
In every voice: in every ban,
The mind-forg’d manacles I hear

Over the year a number of things have seemed dead exciting, or at least a bit important as viewed from this tiny corner of the blogosphere, but have then faded as duds. Let’s pull them back from obscurity and poke them a bit, pull their strings, and make it look as though they’re alive and laugh at them, before tossing them back on the heap of tossed things.

First off the block, and a worthy example of the genre, is Pattern Recognition in Physics (aka pRIP; thanks DM). Killed by Copernicus for being wank, it was re-started by Morner so he could fill it with wank. It seems to be having a thin time: there’s a paper from July, which actually references a WUWT blog post presumably so that even the most dim-witted can tell that its nonsense; and one from November featuring a pentagram.

Rather duller, in April AW proposed some kind of “septic.org” but I think even he realised is was a dumb idea; AFAIK it was still-born; similarly the NIPCC. The long-awaited AW et al. “paper” remains at the concept stage and so forgotten that only I seem to bother mock it. [Update: DM (see comments) reminds me of the http://theoas.org/ which is effectively septics.org; and appears to be ditch-delivered by a drab; [Update: revivification effort / assertion spotted in the wild by MMM; see here]; [Update: and Sou sees more]]

Perhaps the best WATN was l’affaire Lennart Bengtsson in May (for those who forget easily: LB had a paper rejected for being unoriginal; got miffed, and joined the GWPF in a fit of madness; left when all his friends told him the GWPF were nutters; and then blamed everyone but himself for his poor judgement). Its all gone quiet now; spies report that LB has gone back to writing right-wing non-climate politics on climate blogs. But since he has had the decency to do this in Swedish, no one has been reading what he has written; I’ll assume that’s deliberate on his part, and respect his privacy. You can read an analysis of it here (well, actually you probably can’t cos its in foreign, but you can try google translate; or Eli has some earlier stuff, it all looks very similar).

[Update: this post of mine on LB from 2006 is worth reading in the light of today.]

Does the battle of the graphs qualify? In it, Monkers threatened to sue the pants off almost everyone, and then quietly didn’t. But that’s hardly news.

Not-Prof Salby was so 2013 (some took a while to catch up; post to the antipodes can take a while), but questioning the idea that the CO2 rise is anthro seems to be flypaper that every wacko gets stuck to eventually as they buzz around aimlessly. AW hit it, several times but the slightly-surprise victim was “Dr” Roy Spencer who you’d have thought would know better.

Sea ice in 2014 was dull, like 2013. There are still a few – Wadhams springs to mind – who predict collapse-within-a-few-years but I don’t think anyone is listening. The denialists wouldn’t bet on the future though others will. Its still all to play for in the coming years.

Oh, and not-really-fitting but close enough for government work is Spirit of Mawson which returns in the Graun.

Did I miss any?

[Update: on twitter, Andrew Dessler ‏@AndrewDessler asks: “Whatever happened to Sallie Baliunas? She was an original skeptic, but she seems to have disappeared years ago”. Which is true; she doesn’t make it onto the 2014 WATN because she was nowhere in 2014. Google scholar, or news, doesn’t show up anything even vaguely recent. She was born 1953, so may have simply retired. Anyone know? [Yes: she is.]

Update: RA reminds me of Force X from outer space, which I really should have included – how could I have forgotten the most revolutionary breakthrough in science since the bluetooth-enabled toothbrush?]

Refs

* London, by Blake

And that’s how successful our “intervention” in Afghanistan was

Aunty has a story about how Nato has formally ended its 13-year combat mission in Afghanistan. I got to watch it on TV, and noticed that the ceremony looked odd – like it was being held in a gym. And indeed the Beeb article sez Sunday’s ceremony was low-key – held inside a gymnasium at the alliance headquarters away from the public. What that article doesn’t quite bring itself to say – but the TV did – was that the ceremony was effectively held in secret, for fear of attack by the Taliban. That’s the measure of how disastrous a failure its all been. They didn’t add that last sentence, oddly.

And that's how successful our "intervention" in Afghanistan was

Aunty has a story about how Nato has formally ended its 13-year combat mission in Afghanistan. I got to watch it on TV, and noticed that the ceremony looked odd – like it was being held in a gym. And indeed the Beeb article sez Sunday’s ceremony was low-key – held inside a gymnasium at the alliance headquarters away from the public. What that article doesn’t quite bring itself to say – but the TV did – was that the ceremony was effectively held in secret, for fear of attack by the Taliban. That’s the measure of how disastrous a failure its all been. They didn’t add that last sentence, oddly.

Tee hee

VV has the main story but this little pic tells the tale…

…that “Stoat” is in bigger letters than just about anyone else other than RealClimate (well, duh) and ATTP (gnashes teeth).

Actually, that’s not the story. The funny bit is the “yellow ghetto” featuring the anti-science folks: WUWT, BH, and Climate Etc, tee hee. La Curry is not amused, as you’d really rather hope. I imagine Mark Lynas isn’t desperately happy either. von S is welcome to the ghetto after publishing tripe from Alex Harvey; and CA? Well, pffft.

Update: there’s now an updated graphic, http://bit.ly/MySciBlogREAD (h/t A), which allows me to discover:

Incoming (4)
…AND THEN THERE’S PHYSICS
HOTWHOPPER
OUR CLOUDED HILLS
THE LANDSLIDE BLOG

Outgoing (3)
JAMES’ EMPTY BLOG
RABETT RUN
REALCLIMATE

Refs

* A Network of Blogs, Read by Science Bloggers
* Great Blog Galaxy – Almost big enough to be seen! – TPP
* WUWT finally notices but can’t read it; some amusing self-delusion.
* No, Willis – WUWT is not a science site – eg CO2 in the atmosphere

The year in stoats: 2014

I see I’m keeping up my habit of posts that are near-incomprehensible even to me after only a few months; its just like writing Perl. Anyway, here’s my pick of the year, whilst we’re in that grey quiet phase between Christmas and the New Year.

Jan: Science (and the related Peer review)
Feb: The idealised greenhouse effect model and its enemies. Or, if you prfer politics, my lack-of-prescience over the Ukraine.
Mar: Investors warn of ‘carbon bubble’ as Shell predicts climate regulation will hit profits?
Apr: septic.org? – not in itself desperately exciting, but I’ll add it as a marker to what I don’t want to do, which is to spend too much time discussing the clowns. Other people do that better.
May: Adventures in the denialosphere; that’s just about compatible with my text of April, in that this is me bearding the clowns in their playpen over l’affaire Bengtsson. Andy Lacis’s comment on “What is it that determines the terrestrial climate and how it changes?” is also worth reading.
Jun: The Iraqi government really is rubbish, isn’t it? (eschewing Monkers, and with fall-back tale of local boy dun good). [Update: and a mention for Force X from outer space, since I spent some time commenting there.]
Jul: The Bomb Plot.
Aug: The fruitarians are lazy.
Sep: Stubai: Wilder Freiger to the Muller Hutte – this one can stand for the rest. The other half of my summer hols was the Peloponnese.
Oct: Wadhams and the mighty [sh|tw]it storm in honour of this year’s sea ice being dull. And, of course, “Chopper” responds. But I also like Limiting global warming to 2°C: the philosophy and the science?
Nov: The dim and distant history of climate blogging.
Dec: A clever compiler is indistinguishable from malice.

Refs

* 2013
* 2012
* 2010
* 2009
* 2015 Gardening Resolutions – TPP

Happy Christmas

I was going to do something for a Christmas post, but find I can’t do much better than this image (which is via TPP via BA) and (lightly edited) TPP’s words:

Think about how many stars are in such a galaxy. Then think about all those other little lights in the background that are also galaxies, and just in this one little bit of space. Some intellect out there is probably pointing their see-far thingy at the Milky Way, and saying, let me write a blog about how amazing this is.

There’s probably a moral in that, somewhere. Maybe more than one.