Currygate, part 3: the key papers exposed

DSC_3876-e-pensive-against-light Oh well, everyone else has a gate, perhaps I can have one too. Incidentally the picture is there for two reasons: firstly I have far too many pix of Darling Daugther and no-one looks at them. If Jules can put up huts, I can do children. And second, it is a cunning attempt to make me a human bean rather than just a face on the internet, so my enemies will find it harder to attack me. Clever eh?

So, the story so far (pay attention at the back!): I wondered about the list of 3 “key” papers that Curry was proposing should have been considered by the Oxburgh inquiry. Or perhaps by the parliamentary inquiry (Curry quite specifically says my source for the specific papers and why i think they are relevant to the UEA investigation is the documents submitted to the Parliamentary Select Committee). And the question was, in what sense were they key? Well, in this there is no secret that she is quoting McI, because she has said as much. So we should look at McI’s evidence to the Parliamentary inquiry. Which contains a helpful reference list at the end. And I don’t see the key papers on that list. Or you could read the evidence form Andrew Montford. Again, no hint of these so-called “key” papers.

So the answer is: the papers are key, post hoc, because they were not considered by Oxburgh. Had Oxburgh considered them, a different set of papers would have become key.

And once again, Curry simply hasn’t done her homework properly. she got muddled over Wegman and withdrew jsut ab out everything she said; I think she now needs to look very carefully at what she has said about “key papers” and consider whether she is just acting as a mouthpiece for the septics rather than doing what she can and should, which is using her expertise to add something new to the debate.

Incidentally: IMHO Curry’s motivations in all this remain somewhat obscure, and I’m interersted in what they might be. KK seems to have gone from chiding people about speculating to inquiring himself, and there is an interesting post: Curry: The Backstory at c-a-s. Which does demonstrate one thing, that journalists do at least have the virtue of asking people questions and some times they reply.

[Update. Oh no, this is going to turn into one of those eternally expanding posts. Over a c-a-s comment 355 (yes really) KK quotes Romm as saying She has joined the WUWT and McIntyre tribe (note my appearance as a side-dish, perhaps at one of JA’s feasts). Well, critical as I am of what Curry has actually said, I don’t think that comment is either true or helpful. And indeed, Curry has no problem demolishing it. There is enough tribalism around without trying to push it futher. Incidentally, the comment that Romm is responding to has misunderstood Curry, though she makes it very easy to do so: she is *not* saying that IPCC is on a level with NIPCC; she (like all sane folk) regards NIPCC as a joke. She is trying to say (but alas saying it very poorly) that the IPCC needs to retain the features that clearly distinguish it from the NIPCC. Like not being crap. My difference with Curry is that I think it is still doing this well, though like all things on this earth it could be better.]

[And another. Speculating on Curry’s motives is the game of the day, but I have no new ideas on that, so instead I’ll offer an analogy. Curry is like the outsider who looks at the two parties fighting over politics and decides to stand as a “clean-up” candidate (no, remember, this is an analogy; I’m not saying that climate is like politics). So she says a number of things, and garners a lot of media attention, and then either doesn’t get elected because the two-party system exists for a reason… or gets elected, and is then either useless or gets dragged into the system anyway.

This musing was brought on by HR drawing out her quote: “… I have been extremely critical of the NIPCC, it is basically a joke ….”. As I said in reply: you won’t find Watt, or McI, or *any* of the sceptics say that – they are, as she says, too tribal. Curry is *not* one of their tribe. Curry is fundamentally a scientist, and a sane one, and wandering off into attacks on her (which I hope I haven’t done) isn’t good -W]

[Also, another note on the paper-selection issue (DS notes): the initial announcement states: The University, in consultation with the Royal Society, has suggested that the panel looks in particular at key publications, from the body of CRU’s research referred to in the UEA submission to the Parliamentary Science and Technology Committee.]

More snow

Yet more snow. This lot only just settled; moderately thick, but turned to slush later in the day. In particular, the puddle of dirty roadside slush I feel into was cold and wet. But along the footpath it was still beautiful:

DSC_3930-footpath-snow

This is to prove to Jules that the UK isn’t all bad.

CSR is less enchanting, but even so the symmetry is appealing.

DSC_3932-csr-snow

As to ENSO… hmm. Don’t get your hopes up.

Oops #2

Spot the problem:

DSC_3654-lens-crop

So, my Top Tip is, Don’t drop your camera onto a hard stone courtyard. Apparently http://www.fixationuk.com/ may be able to help (thanks Andrew). Another Top Tip might be learn from your mistakes but that is just too hard.

wd-winter-head-IMG_0257 In unrelated news, I finally got one of the coveted orange tee-shirts by running in the Cambrdige Fun Run round the Science Park. 7:04 which is quite passable, though it brought back the Old War Wound (those who kindly commented in rowing and running that I was probably fit enough to break myself were correct :-). In this pic, however (thanks William), we’re standing around waiting for the start of our division of the notoriously never-on-time Winter Head. It is such jolly fun watching the London crews trying to spin on a river no wider than their boat is long and in a wind. It was even more fun watching the one following us round Grassy misjudge the corner and hit the side. It was a bit less fun when they recovered and caught us up and our cox decided to play “clashing blades”. Still we came second with 10.15; 10.05 without the clash maybe.

Volcano from space

nasa-iss020e009048_hack

I like this one. It is from NASA though I’ve heavily hacked it around (I saw it today in a copy of Wired at Mr Polito’s; oh yes, it is online too: http://www.wired.com/wiredscience/2009/08/gallery_volcanoes/3/, but I don’t recommend visiting, the site is mindbogglingly slow, lord knows how much Javash*t they load up). Anyway, it’s the Sarychev volcano (Russia’s Kuril Islands, northeast of Japan) in an early stage of eruption on June 12, 2009. I’m not entirely sure what I’m seeing here – real Met Men should comment – or how tall the plume is. Is it hitting the stratosphere?

[Sorry folks -forgot the title :-(]

New camera

This isn’t going to turn into a photo-blog. But since my S10 started playing up (“lens error”) I got a D80 off ebay (so its not really a new camera at all, but nikon owners other than me seem to look after them well). And then took the S10 to bits, on the off chance of fixing it. But it is really very intricately constructed, as I knew it would be. Just taking it to bits to this stage was hard, getting it back together just about possible, but actually finding out what is wrong, let alone fixing it, so far eludes me. And this is what the lens barrel assembly looks like, or rather what the circuit layer on top of it looks like.

The D80 is nice. It’s good to have a proper SLR again (the F-801 was good too, but as an analogue object has been obsolete for years).

What is this?

A thin excuse for no blogging, but I’ve been away and fighting off the wackos. In the meantime, what is this:

[Some creative answers so far, but no-one has come close. Answer soon -W]

[My favourite answer is the Harley handlebar… I can just see a custom harley hand-crafted from antique silver. But the true answer is: a leg-of-lamb holder; the bone is inserted into the tube and secured with the screw, which then provides an elegant handle to hold the joint when carving -W]

Rowing

Last sunday was the Champs head (named after the pub where they meet rather than their status 🙂 and it was a lovely day and we got to borrow Christs first boat which was lovely too. We were sort of OK, rather rushed and splashy, not long enough (race results from http://www.championrowing.org.uk/; nothing to see, move along quietly…). You can play spot-the-me if you like.

Yesterday, though, back in the old K8 we had a gorgeous outing, down below 1:45 in sprints and down below 1:30 very briefly. Onwards to the bumps…

i-913ad4516f2c6ec6eeb11ec19de8f8ec-champs-head-div1-IMG_4204.JPG

Pic is frmo Denis; click on it for the original or http://picasaweb.google.co.uk/denis.champs for his public gallery.

Snow

I can report a definite downwards temperature trend: this year, Easter was much colder than last year. But thats because we went visiting in the Lakes. I heartily recommend having a relative living there; better still, live there yourself.

Here we see an igloo and inhabitant.

And the view from Knott on the Caldbeck fells, looking south. You can’t see that it was also very cold and windy.

At work in the fields of the bomb

Is a photo essay I bought years ago and rarely looked at. I was going to get rid of it, but then flicking through I came across this wonderful picture.

It looks like some bizarre sci-fi drawing, but is in fact a prototype nuclear-powered jet engine. Read more about it at nuclearfiles.org, which has the full set of piccies from the book, but I think I got the exposure better on mine.